COVID-19 - Fundamental Flaws In The International Financial And Fiscal System Exposed.






The worldwide economic crisis triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic has exposed fundamental flaws in the international financial and fiscal system once again (IFFS).



It failed to respond adequately to the crisis, particularly in low-income nations, which were badly struck by the pandemic's worldwide economic consequences.

Despite the fact that the pandemic had a less widespread impact on health conditions in many low-income countries, they were disproportionately affected by the spillover effects of the economic crisis in major economies, particularly those in Europe and the United States, and had few financial resources to mitigate the impact on their populations' livelihoods.

In this paper, we look at how the pandemic has affected people's livelihoods throughout the globe.

Here I explain how the COVID-19 problem has triggered a significant global recession, with possibly long-term consequences for human development, rising poverty, income inequality, and food insecurity.


Even though they have been less affected by the pandemic's expansion, some of the world's poorest nations, such as those in Africa, are among the most impacted economically.




While high-income countries have made exceptional steps to alleviate livelihood consequences, poor countries' reactions have been subdued due to a lack of financial resources.



The economic implications of the pandemic have once again exposed the flaws in the present IFFS, which fails to provide sufficient contingency funding where it is most required.

Whereas high-income countries could engage in large and practically costless fiscal and monetary growth, poor countries racked up massive debts and suffered acute liquidity constraints when it came to even the most basic debt refinancing.

The IFFS' flaws include pervasive biases in internationally poorly-coordinated tax systems, resulting in tax base erosion and profit shifting, the inadequacy of international contingency financing mechanisms, the lack of appropriate sovereign debt management mechanisms, and the absence of a truly international currency that could serve as a multilateral source of liquidity provisioning during times of crisis.



Here I discuss ways to address these IFFS flaws in the short and medium term, such as reforming international tax coordination mechanisms, establishing a multilaterally backed sovereign debt workout mechanism, reforming policy conditionality attached to contingency financing, and issuing additional, truly international liquidity in the form of Special Drawing Rights, both to provide additional contingency financing and to levee.

With such measures in place, the pandemic response would have given a more equal playing field for rising and developing nations, as well as minimized the worst economic impacts of the pandemic.

Apart from the pandemic, these measures will promote recovery and concentrate international development finance on the globally accepted Sustainable Development Goals.


Important political difficulties will have to be overcome to adopt such changes in the current climate of fading multilateralism as outline here.



It's worth noting that the international community has made numerous efforts toward implementing these proposals since the time of publication (April 2021).

First, the Group of Twenty (G20) major nations agreed to a unified corporate tax rate of 25% in an attempt to curb profit shifting by multinational corporations, a problem that is already undermining many countries' tax bases.

Second, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has approved the release of 650 billion dollars in Special Drawing Rights (SDRs).

Although suitable allocation methods for the use of the increased foreign liquidity have yet to be agreed upon, this is a significant step forward.

It demonstrates that change is achievable, despite the fact that there is still a long way to go.



~ Jai Krishna Ponnappan.


You may also want to read more analysis about the COVID-19 Pandemic here.




Sources & References:

 

Afesorgbor, S. K., van Bergeijk, P. A. G., & Demena, B. A. (2021). COVID-19 and the threat to globalization: An optimistic note. In E. Papyrakis (Ed.), Covid-19 and international development. Springer.

 

Chandrasekhar, C. P. (2021). The challenge of LDC debt. Economic and Political Weekly, 56(3).

https://www.networkideas.org/news-analysis/2021/02/the-challenge-of-ldc-debt/

 

Chowdhury, A., & Jomo, K. S. (2021). IMF, World Bank must urgently help finance developing countries. Blog. Available at: https://www.ksjomo.org/post/imf-world-bank-must-support developing-countries-recovery. Accessed on 30 Mar 2021.

 

Development Initiatives. (2021). Aid data 2019–2020: Analysis of trends before and during COVID-19. Briefing. Available at: https://devinit.org/resources/aid-data-2019-2020-analysis trends-before-during-covid/#downloads.

 

FACTI Panel. (2021). Financial Integrity for Sustainable Development. Report of the High-Level Panel on International Financial Accountability, Transparency and Integrity for Achieving the 2030 Agenda. Financial Accountability, Transparency and Integrity (FACTI), New York. 

Available at: https://www.factipanel.org/explore-the-report

 

Gallagher, K., & Carlin F. M. (2020). The role of IMF in the fight against COVID-19: The IMF Covid Response Index. Covid Economics 42, 19 August 2020.

 

Gallagher, K., Gao, H., Kring, W., Ocampo, J. A., & Volz, U. (2021). Safety first: Expanding the global financial safety net in response to COVID-19. Global Policy, 12(1), 140–148.

 

Goolsbee, A., & Syverson, C. (2020). Fear, lockdown and diversion: Comparing drivers of pandemic economic decline 2020 (NBER Working Paper 27432). National Bureau of Economic Research.

 

Haan, R. (1971). Special drawing rights and development. Stenfert Kroese.

Herman, B., Ocampo, J. A., & Spiegel, S. (2010). Overcoming developing country debt crises. Oxford University Press.

 

ICRIT. (2020). The Global pandemic, sustainable economic recovery, and international taxation. Independent Commission for the Reform of International Taxation. Available at: https://www.icrict.com/icrict-documentsthe-global-pandemic-sustainable-economic-recovery-and-international-taxation. 

 

ILO. (2021). ILO Monitor: COVID-19 and the world of work. Seventh edition updated estimates and analysis. International Labour Organization, Geneva, Switzerland. Available at: https://www.ilo.org/global/topics/coronavirus/impacts-and-responses/WCMS_767028/lang%2D%2Den/index.htm.

 

IMF. (2021a). World Economic Outlook, January 2021. International Monetary Fund. Available at: 

https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2021/01/26/2021-world-economic-outlook-update

 

IMF. (2021b). Fiscal monitor. Database of country fiscal measures in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. International Monetary Fund. Data available at: https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/imfand-covid19/Fiscal-Policies-Database-in-Response-to-COVID-19

 

The pandemic and the economic crisis: A global agenda for urgent action(Interim report of the commission for global economic transformation). Institute for New Economic Thinking. Available at: https://www.ineteconomics.org/research/research-papers/

the-pandemic-and-the-economic-crisis-a-global-agenda-for-urgent-action.

 

Laborde, D., Martin, W., & Vos, R. (2020). Impacts of COVID-19 on global poverty, food security and diets (IFPRI Discussion Paper 01993 December). International Food Policy Research Institute.

 

Laborde, D., Martin, W., & Vos, R. (2021). Impacts of COVID-19 on global poverty, food security and diets. Agricultural Economics, 52(3), 375390. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12624.

 

Mahler, D., Lakner, C, Castaneda Aguilar, R., & Wu, H. (2020). The impact of COVID-19 (Coronavirus) on global poverty: Why Sub-Saharan Africa might be the region hardest hit?

World Bank Data Blog. Available at: https://blogs.worldbank.org/opendata/updated-estimates impact-covid-19-global-poverty. 

 

Mukhtarov, M., Papyrakis, E., & Rieger, M. (2021). Covid-19 and water. In E. Papyrakis (Ed.), Covid-19 and international development. Springer.

 

Murshed, S.  M. (2021). Consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic for economic inequality. In E. Papyrakis (Ed.), Covid-19 and international development. Springer.

 

Ocampo, J.  A. (2015). Reforming the international monetary and fnancial architecture. In J.  A. Alonso & J.  A. Ocampo (Eds.), Global governance and rules for the post-2015 era(pp. 41–72). Bloomsbury Academic.

 

Oxfam. (2020). Behind the numbers: A dataset on spending, accountability and recovery measures included in IMF Covid-19 loans. Online database. Oxfam. Available at https://www.oxfam.org/en/international-fnancial-institutions/imf-covid-19-fnancing-and-fscal-tracker.

 

Oxfam. (2021a). The inequality virus (Oxfam Briefing paper (January)). Oxfam. Available at 

https://oxfamilibrary.openrepository.com/bitstream/handle/10546/621149/bp-the-inequality virus-250121-en.pdf.

 

Oxfam. (2021b). Austerity is not a fair shot: 4 observations on the IMF’s latest COVID 19 loans(Oxfam Briefing paper (April)). Oxfam. Available at: https://medium.com/@OxfamIFIs/austerity-is-not-a-fair-shot-fdc4e11a06b6.

 

Sumner, A., Hoy, C., & Ortiz-Juarez, E. (2020). Estimates of the impact of COVID-19 on global poverty (WIDER Working Paper 2020/43). World Institute for Development Economics Research. Available at: https://www.wider.unu.edu/sites/default/fles/Publications/Working paper/PDF/wp2020-43.pdf. 

 

UN-DESA. (2021). World economic situation and prospects (Monthly Briefing No 146 (5 February 2021)). United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs. Available at: https://www.un.org/development/desa/dpad/publication/world-economic-situation-and-prospects february-2021-briefng-no-146/

 

R. van der Hoeven and R. Vos 27 United Nations. (2012). World Economic and Social Survey 2012: In search for new international development finance. United Nations. Available at: http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/policy/wess/wess_current/2012wess.pdf

 

Liquidity and debt solutions to invest in the SDGs: The time to act is now (UN secretary-general policy brief (March 21)). United Nations. Available at: https://www.un.org/sites/un2.un.org/fles/sg_policy_brief_on_liquidity_and_debt_solutions_march_2021.pdf.

 

Van Bergeijk, P. (2021). Pandemic economics. Edward Elgar Publishers.

van der Hoeven, R. (2020). Multilateralism, employment and inequality in the context of COVID-19. In UN committee for development policy (UNCDP), 2020, development policy and multilateralism after COVID-19. United Nations.

 

Vos, R. (2017). From billions to trillions: Towards reform of development finance and the global reserve system. In P. van Bergeijk & R. van der Hoeven (Eds.), Sustainable development goals and inequality. Edward Elgar. World Bank. (2020a).

 

Poverty and shared prosperity 2020: Reversals of fortune. The World Bank. 

Available at: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/34496.

 

World Bank. (2020b). Global economic prospects 2020. The World Bank. Available at: https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects